Friday, October 19, 2007

The newest licensee

Apparently Joe Harary's two-day swing through Texas had a purpose after all. What appeared to be a complete non-event (and was reported as such by attendees from the message boards) had a bit of a sting in the tail in the form of a new licensee in the Houston area, Craftsman Fabricated Glass.

A quick browse of the company site shows that Craftsman isn't so hot in terms of web presence. Their website, dated with a 2005 copyright, still has many "under construction" page stubs. This of course does not automatically mean they're not competent at their core business, but it definitely suggests they're not exactly a big time player, more like on the order of a Custom Glass, only in a larger local market.

Of course, the market, as is its wont these days, has just gone nuts on the news, running back up near the highs after a fairly steep pullback over the prior few days.

What must surely frustrate the shorts in this stock is how the stock just gaily runs up to the moon with no apparent expectations of the company actually producing any kind of revenues, much less profits. BUT... there may be a end to this tunnel vision in sight. At the Dallas luncheon Wednesday, Harary is reported to have announced a "small amount" of royalty income for the third quarter of this year, a "large amount" for the fourth quarter, and big-time growth through next year. So it's basically on the fourth-quarter report in February or early March to show something, or REFR will have finally, officially disappointed.

The blog plans to be here to see it happen. How about you?

Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Asensio back on the scene

Manuel Asensio, high-profile critic of REFR in years past, came back to the topic after a year's silence, with a release slamming Gene Marical's hype-ridden article from last summer. Asensio makes up for the relative tardiness of his response with some interesting information about the relationship between Marcial and REFR, specifically the fact that Marcial wrote about REFR back in 1995, then hyping licenses Japan Steel Works and Sanyo, and forecasting a buyout by General Electric.

Marcial and his employer Business Week are the focus of the release, but the article is still a good read for anyone looking for insight into stock promotion in the press.